New Castle
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #177
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #44
Rushville Regional Rank #10
Connersville Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 99.2%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Blackford Invitational New Castle Invitational Yorktown Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/13 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,284 1,085 1,320 1,394 1,265 1,392 1,279
Team Adjusted Rating 1,085 1,173 1,247 1,265 1,245 1,279
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Blackford Invitational New Castle Invitational Yorktown Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
708  Shelby Mills 12 21:57 22:11 22:28 22:13 22:40 22:40 22:28 22:18 22:08 22:25 21:28 22:37
742  Catherine Brock 12 22:03 21:11 21:08 21:35 21:23 21:54 21:33 21:42 23:21 24:34 24:06
1,365  Megan Mills 9 23:23 21:48 22:41 23:41 24:10 23:35 23:25
Regan Millikan 12 24:04 23:39 23:05 24:22 24:11 23:47 23:47 24:00 24:34 24:52
Grace Lewis 10 27:29 27:21 27:55 28:35 29:24 26:40 26:49 28:38 26:04
MacKenzie Vance 11 27:31 26:06 26:36 26:06 28:01 28:47 28:47
Cheyanne Lazzell 10 28:39 28:54 28:30 29:06 29:18 28:48 28:03 29:22 27:47
Samantha Alspaugh 11 30:16 34:07 29:56 30:30 29:02
Gabriella Williams 11 30:16 31:45 32:42 30:06 30:07 27:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 20.0 562 0.0
Regionals 99.2% 8.8 204 0.0 1.2 10.5 22.5 37.3 27.7
Sectionals 100% 3.6 111 0.0 53.5 28.9 16.7 0.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Mills 88.7% 136.0 88.7% 88.7%
Catherine Brock 78.7% 138.8 78.7% 78.7%
Megan Mills 0.0% 161.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Mills 100% 22.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 2.1 3.6 4.4 5.7 6.9 7.6 8.0 8.7 7.7 7.3 7.0 100.0% 100.0%
Catherine Brock 100% 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.8 4.0 4.6 5.6 6.5 7.1 7.7 7.9 7.3 100.0% 100.0%
Megan Mills 100% 53.9 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Mills 9.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 6.1 12.0 17.0 17.9 17.9 12.8 7.1 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Catherine Brock 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.9 7.0 11.8 15.9 18.8 17.8 11.2 6.6 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Megan Mills 21.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.7 7.9 14.4 19.7 21.7 18.3 7.5 2.9